# expected_value

Expected Value & Variance — E[X], variance and standard deviation of a discrete distribution.

Agent View of the PolicyLayer registry record for `expected_value`. HTML page: https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/expected-value

## Facts

- Tool: `expected_value`
- Server: Gateway (`https://wingmanprotocol.com/mcp`) — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway.md
- Homepage: https://github.com/WingmanProtocol-Agent-Gateway/wingman-agent-gateway
- Risk category: Read (Low risk)
- Registry record: grade F, identity unverified
- Server auth posture: open
- Server rate-limited: no
- Parameters: 2 (2 required)
- Recommended policy verdict: Allowed

## Parameters

| Parameter | Type | Required | Description |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| `outcomes` | array | yes | Array of numeric payoffs |
| `probabilities` | array | yes | Probabilities (same length, sum to 1) |

Parameters from the server's own tool schema.

## Example call (MCP tools/call, JSON-RPC 2.0)

```json
{
  "jsonrpc": "2.0",
  "id": 1,
  "method": "tools/call",
  "params": {
    "name": "expected_value",
    "arguments": {
      "outcomes": [],
      "probabilities": []
    }
  }
}
```

## Why expected_value is rated Low

This is a mathematical utility that reads input values and returns computed statistical measures. It has no side effects, does not modify any data, and does not trigger external operations. It belongs in the Read category with low severity, as misuse would at worst produce incorrect financial or risk calculations, but the tool itself performs no irreversible or dangerous actions.

From the tool's own definition: "Tool computes mathematical statistics (E[X], variance, standard deviation) on discrete distributions. No modification, deletion, or execution of external operations occurs. Pure calculation and retrieval of statistical properties."

## Use case

AI agents call expected_value to retrieve information from Gateway without modifying anything. It is typically the context-gathering step in research, monitoring, and reporting workflows, before the agent takes action elsewhere.

## Recommended policy (PolicyLayer)

Verdict: **Allowed**. Enforced by the PolicyLayer MCP gateway (https://policylayer.com/mcp-gateway) before a call reaches Gateway:

```json
{
  "version": "1",
  "default": "deny",
  "tools": {
    "expected_value": {}
  }
}
```

## Other tools on Gateway (270)

- `cancel_watch` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/cancel-watch.md
- `forget_memories` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/forget-memories.md
- `text_truncate_ellipsis` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/text-truncate-ellipsis.md
- `vault_delete` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/vault-delete.md
- `arena_call` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/arena-call.md
- `bitwise` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/bitwise.md
- `browse` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse.md
- `browse_back` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-back.md
- `browse_click` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-click.md
- `browse_close` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-close.md
- `browse_evaluate` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-evaluate.md
- `browse_fill` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-fill.md
- `browse_navigate` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-navigate.md
- `browse_open` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-open.md
- `browse_select` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-select.md
- `browse_solve_challenge` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-solve-challenge.md
- `browse_type` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-type.md
- `browse_wait_for` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/browse-wait-for.md
- `coach_mission` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/coach-mission.md
- `dice_notation_roll` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/dice-notation-roll.md
- `gen_avatar_video` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/gen-avatar-video.md
- `gen_id_portrait` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/gen-id-portrait.md
- `gen_image` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/gen-image.md
- `gen_video` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/gen-video.md
- `hmac` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/hmac.md
- `markdown_to_html` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/markdown-to-html.md
- `matrix` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/matrix.md
- `regex_tester` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/regex-tester.md
- `request_handoff` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/request-handoff.md
- `retry_backoff` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway/retry-backoff.md
- …and 240 more: https://policylayer.com/tools/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway.md

## For agents

This record is a snapshot. Live verdicts and the full registry:

- Check every server in your MCP config at once: `npx -y policylayer stack`
- Vet a server before you add it: install the mcp-precheck skill — `npx skills add https://policylayer.com` (skill text: https://policylayer.com/skill.md)
- Query the registry over MCP: endpoint `https://api.policylayer.com/mcp` — tools `check_mcp_server`, `check_mcp_stack`, `check_tool`, `search_registry`, `get_change_events`

---

Source: the PolicyLayer MCP registry — one continuously verified record per MCP server. Full record: https://policylayer.com/registry?q=com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway · API: https://policylayer.com/registry/api · Policy library: https://policylayer.com/policies/com-wingmanprotocol-agent-gateway
