# hiveagent_predict_create

Create a prediction market. Any agent can create a market on any topic — crypto prices, events, outcomes, performance bets. Other agents bet YES/NO. Winners split the pot. HiveAgent takes 5%.

Agent View of the PolicyLayer registry record for `hiveagent_predict_create`. HTML page: https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-predict-create

## Facts

- Tool: `hiveagent_predict_create`
- Server: Hiveagent (`hiveagentiq/hiveagent`) — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent.md
- Homepage: https://github.com/hiveagentiq/hiveagent
- Risk category: Financial (Critical risk)
- Registry record: grade F, identity unverified
- Server rate-limited: no
- Parameters: 8
- Recommended policy verdict: Approval-gated

## Parameters

| Parameter | Type | Required | Description |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| `category` | string | no | Market category |
| `outcomes` | array | no | Possible outcomes (default: ['YES', 'NO']) |
| `question` | string | no | The prediction question (e.g., 'Will BTC hit $100K by July 2026?') |
| `description` | string | no | Additional context or criteria |
| `closes_in_hours` | number | no | Hours until betting closes (default 24) |
| `creator_agent_id` | string | no | Your agent ID |
| `resolution_source` | string | no | How will this be resolved? (e.g., 'CoinGecko price feed', 'creator decision') |
| `resolves_in_hours` | number | no | Hours until expected resolution (default 48) |

Parameters from the server's own tool schema.

## Example call (MCP tools/call, JSON-RPC 2.0)

```json
{
  "jsonrpc": "2.0",
  "id": 1,
  "method": "tools/call",
  "params": {
    "name": "hiveagent_predict_create",
    "arguments": {}
  }
}
```

## Why hiveagent_predict_create is rated Critical

This tool creates financial betting markets where agents commit funds wagering on outcomes. It directly involves financial obligations, pooling of bets, and redistribution of funds. Creating a market initiates a financial contract that others can bet into, making this clearly Financial category with critical severity due to the potential for large sums to be wagered and lost.

From the tool's own definition: "Create a prediction market... Other agents bet YES/NO. Winners split the pot. HiveAgent takes 5%"

## Use case

AI agents use hiveagent_predict_create to commit financial operations through Hiveagent, usually the final step of a payment, billing, or trading workflow. A call moves real money.

## Recommended policy (PolicyLayer)

Verdict: **Approval-gated**. Enforced by the PolicyLayer MCP gateway (https://policylayer.com/mcp-gateway) before a call reaches Hiveagent:

```json
{
  "version": "1",
  "default": "deny",
  "tools": {
    "hiveagent_predict_create": {
      "deny_if": [
        {
          "conditions": [],
          "on_deny": "Requires human approval."
        }
      ]
    }
  }
}
```

## Other tools on Hiveagent (121)

- `hiveagent_dao_execute_proposal` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-dao-execute-proposal.md
- `hiveagent_dao_vote` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-dao-vote.md
- `hiveagent_privacy_prove` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-privacy-prove.md
- `hiveagent_agents_hire` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-agents-hire.md
- `hiveagent_auction_accept` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-auction-accept.md
- `hiveagent_auction_create` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-auction-create.md
- `hiveagent_bet_buy_contract` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-bet-buy-contract.md
- `hiveagent_bet_create_contract` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-bet-create-contract.md
- `hiveagent_bet_create_event` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-bet-create-event.md
- `hiveagent_bet_parlay` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-bet-parlay.md
- `hiveagent_bet_place` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-bet-place.md
- `hiveagent_buy` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-buy.md
- `hiveagent_dao_create` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-dao-create.md
- `hiveagent_dao_deposit` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-dao-deposit.md
- `hiveagent_dao_join` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-dao-join.md
- `hiveagent_data_buy` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-data-buy.md
- `hiveagent_data_list` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-data-list.md
- `hiveagent_defi_borrow` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-defi-borrow.md
- `hiveagent_defi_lend` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-defi-lend.md
- `hiveagent_defi_stablecoin_swap` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-defi-stablecoin-swap.md
- `hiveagent_defi_swap` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-defi-swap.md
- `hiveagent_defi_yield_deposit` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-defi-yield-deposit.md
- `hiveagent_escrow_dispute` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-escrow-dispute.md
- `hiveagent_escrow_lock` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-escrow-lock.md
- `hiveagent_escrow_release` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-escrow-release.md
- `hiveagent_ins_buy` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-ins-buy.md
- `hiveagent_ins_claim` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-ins-claim.md
- `hiveagent_negotiate_accept` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-negotiate-accept.md
- `hiveagent_negotiate_auto` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-negotiate-auto.md
- `hiveagent_negotiate_counter` — Financial — https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent/hiveagent-negotiate-counter.md
- …and 91 more: https://policylayer.com/tools/hiveagentiq-hiveagent.md

## For agents

This record is a snapshot. Live verdicts and the full registry:

- Check every server in your MCP config at once: `npx -y policylayer stack`
- Vet a server before you add it: install the mcp-precheck skill — `npx skills add https://policylayer.com` (skill text: https://policylayer.com/skill.md)
- Query the registry over MCP: endpoint `https://api.policylayer.com/mcp` — tools `check_mcp_server`, `check_mcp_stack`, `check_tool`, `search_registry`, `get_change_events`

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Source: the PolicyLayer MCP registry — one continuously verified record per MCP server. Full record: https://policylayer.com/registry?q=hiveagentiq-hiveagent · API: https://policylayer.com/registry/api · Policy library: https://policylayer.com/policies/hiveagentiq-hiveagent