# hippo_outcome_predict

FORGIA #252 — rule-based outcome prediction.

Agent View of the PolicyLayer registry record for `hippo_outcome_predict`. HTML page: https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-outcome-predict

## Facts

- Tool: `hippo_outcome_predict`
- Server: Verimem (`aureliocpr-ctrl/verimem`) — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem.md
- Homepage: https://github.com/aureliocpr-ctrl/verimem
- Risk category: Read (Low risk)
- Registry record: grade F, identity unverified
- Server rate-limited: no
- Parameters: 0
- Recommended policy verdict: Allowed

## Example call (MCP tools/call, JSON-RPC 2.0)

```json
{
  "jsonrpc": "2.0",
  "id": 1,
  "method": "tools/call",
  "params": {
    "name": "hippo_outcome_predict",
    "arguments": {}
  }
}
```

## Why hippo_outcome_predict is rated Low

This tool performs predictive analysis based on rules—a computational inference task that reads state and produces an output without side effects. The pattern aligns with other sibling tools on the server (hippo_assess_confidence, hippo_assess_fact_freshness, hippo_audit_summary) that are analytical and non-destructive.

From the tool's own definition: "Tool name 'hippo_outcome_predict' and description 'rule-based outcome prediction' indicate a query or analysis function that retrieves or derives predictions from existing rules and data."

## Use case

AI agents call hippo_outcome_predict to retrieve information from Verimem without modifying anything. It is typically the context-gathering step in research, monitoring, and reporting workflows, before the agent takes action elsewhere.

## Recommended policy (PolicyLayer)

Verdict: **Allowed**. Enforced by the PolicyLayer MCP gateway (https://policylayer.com/mcp-gateway) before a call reaches Verimem:

```json
{
  "version": "1",
  "default": "deny",
  "tools": {
    "hippo_outcome_predict": {}
  }
}
```

## Other tools on Verimem (236)

- `hippo_fact_forget` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-fact-forget.md
- `hippo_fact_forget_with_undo` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-fact-forget-with-undo.md
- `hippo_forget` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-forget.md
- `hippo_forget_scope` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-forget-scope.md
- `hippo_skill_archive` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-skill-archive.md
- `hippo_skill_retire` — Destructive — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-skill-retire.md
- `hippo_compose_plan` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-compose-plan.md
- `hippo_consolidate` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-consolidate.md
- `hippo_curate_pipeline` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-curate-pipeline.md
- `hippo_decay_run` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-decay-run.md
- `hippo_plan_strips` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-plan-strips.md
- `hippo_provider_switch` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-provider-switch.md
- `hippo_reason` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-reason.md
- `hippo_rollout_actions` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-rollout-actions.md
- `hippo_run_task` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-run-task.md
- `hippo_skill_compile_macro` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-skill-compile-macro.md
- `hippo_skill_derive_predicates` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-skill-derive-predicates.md
- `hippo_skills_derive_predicates_batch` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-skills-derive-predicates-batch.md
- `hippo_world_simulate` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-world-simulate.md
- `sandbox_exec` — Execute — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/sandbox-exec.md
- `hippo_dream_propose` — Other — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-dream-propose.md
- `hippo_agent_specialization` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-agent-specialization.md
- `hippo_agent_workload` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-agent-workload.md
- `hippo_anchor_recall` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-anchor-recall.md
- `hippo_anti_confab_scan` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-anti-confab-scan.md
- `hippo_assess_confidence` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-assess-confidence.md
- `hippo_assess_fact_freshness` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-assess-fact-freshness.md
- `hippo_audit_summary` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-audit-summary.md
- `hippo_audit_tail` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-audit-tail.md
- `hippo_briefing` — Read — https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem/hippo-briefing.md
- …and 206 more: https://policylayer.com/tools/verimem.md

## For agents

This record is a snapshot. Live verdicts and the full registry:

- Check every server in your MCP config at once: `npx -y policylayer stack`
- Vet a server before you add it: install the mcp-precheck skill — `npx skills add https://policylayer.com` (skill text: https://policylayer.com/skill.md)
- Query the registry over MCP: endpoint `https://api.policylayer.com/mcp` — tools `check_mcp_server`, `check_mcp_stack`, `check_tool`, `search_registry`, `get_change_events`

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Source: the PolicyLayer MCP registry — one continuously verified record per MCP server. Full record: https://policylayer.com/registry?q=verimem · API: https://policylayer.com/registry/api · Policy library: https://policylayer.com/policies/verimem