Medium Risk

score_calibration

Score how well-calibrated a set of probability predictions are against observed binary outcomes using Brier score and log score. Use to evaluate forecaster accuracy, model calibration, prediction-market fairness. Lower Brier/log score = better. predictions[i] is the probability assigned to event ...

Part of the Oraclaw server.

score_calibration can modify Oraclaw data, with no limits today. PolicyLayer puts allow, deny, and rate-limit rules on every call. Live in minutes.

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AI agents use score_calibration to create or modify resources in Oraclaw. Write operations carry medium risk because an autonomous agent could trigger bulk unintended modifications. Rate limits prevent a single agent session from making hundreds of changes in rapid succession. Argument validation ensures the agent passes expected values.

Without a policy, an AI agent could call score_calibration repeatedly, creating or modifying resources faster than any human could review. PolicyLayer's rate limiting ensures write operations happen at a controlled pace, and argument validation catches malformed or unexpected inputs before they reach Oraclaw.

Write tools can modify data. A rate limit prevents runaway bulk operations from AI agents.

policy.json
{
  "version": "1",
  "default": "deny",
  "tools": {
    "score_calibration": {
      "limits": [
        {
          "counter": "score_calibration_rate",
          "window": "minute",
          "max": 30,
          "scope": "grant"
        }
      ]
    }
  }
}

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These attack patterns abuse exactly the kind of access score_calibration gives an agent. Each links to the full case and the policy that stops it:

Browse the full MCP Attack Database →

Every attack above starts with a tool call. PolicyLayer checks each one against your policy first, so score_calibration only ever does what you allow.

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Other write tools across the catalogue. The same approach applies to each: rate-limit and validate the arguments.

What does the score_calibration tool do? +

Score how well-calibrated a set of probability predictions are against observed binary outcomes using Brier score and log score. Use to evaluate forecaster accuracy, model calibration, prediction-market fairness. Lower Brier/log score = better. predictions[i] is the probability assigned to event i; outcomes[i] is 1 if it happened, 0 otherwise. For comparing multiple forecasters' agreement, use score_convergence instead. Free.. It is categorised as a Write tool in the Oraclaw MCP Server, which means it can create or modify data. Consider rate limits to prevent runaway writes.

How do I enforce a policy on score_calibration? +

Register the Oraclaw MCP server in PolicyLayer and add a rule for score_calibration: allow, deny, rate-limit, or require approval. Point your MCP client at the PolicyLayer proxy URL and the rule is enforced on every call, before it reaches Oraclaw. Nothing to install.

What risk level is score_calibration? +

score_calibration is a Write tool with medium risk. Write tools should be rate-limited to prevent accidental bulk modifications.

Can I rate-limit score_calibration? +

Yes. Add a rate_limit block to the score_calibration rule in your PolicyLayer policy. For example, setting max: 10 and window: 60 limits the tool to 10 calls per minute. Rate limits are tracked per agent session and reset automatically.

How do I block score_calibration completely? +

Set action: deny in the PolicyLayer policy for score_calibration. The AI agent will receive a policy violation error and cannot call the tool. You can also include a reason field to explain why the tool is blocked.

What MCP server provides score_calibration? +

score_calibration is provided by the Oraclaw MCP server (@oraclaw/mcp-server). PolicyLayer sits as a proxy in front of this server to enforce policies before tool calls reach the server.

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