Medium Risk

update_forecast_probability

Update a forecast

Part of the Nodebench server.

update_forecast_probability can modify Nodebench data, with no limits today. PolicyLayer puts allow, deny, and rate-limit rules on every call. Live in minutes.

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AI agents use update_forecast_probability to create or modify resources in Nodebench. Write operations carry medium risk because an autonomous agent could trigger bulk unintended modifications. Rate limits prevent a single agent session from making hundreds of changes in rapid succession. Argument validation ensures the agent passes expected values.

Without a policy, an AI agent could call update_forecast_probability repeatedly, creating or modifying resources faster than any human could review. PolicyLayer's rate limiting ensures write operations happen at a controlled pace, and argument validation catches malformed or unexpected inputs before they reach Nodebench.

Write tools can modify data. A rate limit prevents runaway bulk operations from AI agents.

policy.json
{
  "version": "1",
  "default": "deny",
  "tools": {
    "update_forecast_probability": {
      "limits": [
        {
          "counter": "update_forecast_probability_rate",
          "window": "minute",
          "max": 30,
          "scope": "grant"
        }
      ]
    }
  }
}

See the full Nodebench policy for all 724 tools.

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These attack patterns abuse exactly the kind of access update_forecast_probability gives an agent. Each links to the full case and the policy that stops it:

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Every attack above starts with a tool call. PolicyLayer checks each one against your policy first, so update_forecast_probability only ever does what you allow.

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Other write tools across the catalogue. The same approach applies to each: rate-limit and validate the arguments.

What does the update_forecast_probability tool do? +

Update a forecast. It is categorised as a Write tool in the Nodebench MCP Server, which means it can create or modify data. Consider rate limits to prevent runaway writes.

How do I enforce a policy on update_forecast_probability? +

Register the Nodebench MCP server in PolicyLayer and add a rule for update_forecast_probability: allow, deny, rate-limit, or require approval. Point your MCP client at the PolicyLayer proxy URL and the rule is enforced on every call, before it reaches Nodebench. Nothing to install.

What risk level is update_forecast_probability? +

update_forecast_probability is a Write tool with medium risk. Write tools should be rate-limited to prevent accidental bulk modifications.

Can I rate-limit update_forecast_probability? +

Yes. Add a rate_limit block to the update_forecast_probability rule in your PolicyLayer policy. For example, setting max: 10 and window: 60 limits the tool to 10 calls per minute. Rate limits are tracked per agent session and reset automatically.

How do I block update_forecast_probability completely? +

Set action: deny in the PolicyLayer policy for update_forecast_probability. The AI agent will receive a policy violation error and cannot call the tool. You can also include a reason field to explain why the tool is blocked.

What MCP server provides update_forecast_probability? +

update_forecast_probability is provided by the Nodebench MCP server (nodebench-mcp). PolicyLayer sits as a proxy in front of this server to enforce policies before tool calls reach the server.

Enforce policy on every Nodebench tool call.

Deterministic rules across all 724 Nodebench tools. Per-identity grants. Full audit log. Live in minutes. Nothing to install.

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