polymarket_kalshi_spread
Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. The two venues sometimes price the same outcome 2-25pp apart because their participant pools differ — when the bet shapes are equivalent that delta is a real signal, when they aren't the tool says so. TWO MODES: (1)...
This record as markdown: /tools/io-github-pipeworx-io-19hz/polymarket-kalshi-spread.md
What polymarket_kalshi_spread does on 19hz
AI agents call polymarket_kalshi_spread to retrieve information from 19hz without modifying anything. It is typically the context-gathering step in research, monitoring, and reporting workflows, before the agent takes action elsewhere.
| Parameter | Type | Required | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
topic | string | — | Pre-mapped: fed | btc | cpi | gdp | sp500 | recession | next_pope | next_uk_pm | next_israel_pm | 2028_president |
kalshi_event_ticker | string | — | Explicit Kalshi event ticker, e.g. "KXFED-26OCT". Overrides the topic-mapped Kalshi side. |
polymarket_event_slug | string | — | Explicit Polymarket event slug, e.g. "fed-decision-in-june-825". Overrides the topic-mapped Polymarket side. |
Parameters from the server's own tool schema.
Why polymarket_kalshi_spread is rated Low
This tool fetches and compares pricing data from two prediction market venues (Kalshi and Polymarket). It retrieves market prices and computes a spread — a read/query operation with no side effects. It does not place bets, move money, or modify any data. Despite being financial in nature (prediction markets), it only reads and compares prices without committing any financial obligation.
From the tool's definition Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question... auto-fetch the matching event on each venue... RESPONSE: each venue
Attacks that exploit this kind of access
The rule that runs polymarket_kalshi_spread safely
PolicyLayer is an MCP gateway: it sits between your AI agents and 19hz, and checks every tool call against a rule you set before the call runs. Nothing changes on the server itself. For polymarket_kalshi_spread, this is the rule to start with:
polymarket_kalshi_spread is read-only, so it stays allowed. Everything else on the server is denied unless you say otherwise.
The button opens the PolicyLayer dashboard: create your workspace, connect 19hz, apply this rule, and every polymarket_kalshi_spread call is checked against it from then on.
Questions about polymarket_kalshi_spread
Cross-venue spread between Kalshi and Polymarket for the same resolving question. The two venues sometimes price the same outcome 2-25pp apart because their participant pools differ — when the bet shapes are equivalent that delta is a real signal, when they aren't the tool says so. TWO MODES: (1) topic — 10 pre-mapped macro shortcuts ("fed", "btc", "cpi", "gdp", "sp500", "recession", "next_pope", "next_uk_pm", "next_israel_pm", "2028_president") auto-fetch the matching event on each venue. (2) explicit kalshi_event_ticker + polymarket_event_slug for custom pairings. RESPONSE: each venue's leg-by-leg prices (raw probability 0-1) plus matched spread[].top_spreads_pp (Kalshi − Polymarket) where the same outcome shows up on both sides. SAFETY FIELDS: compatibility_warning fires in two cases — (a) matched_pairs:0 with skipped_cross_type>0 means the venues frame the topic with non-equivalent bet shapes (e.g. Kalshi range_bucket point-in-time vs Polymarket cumulative_threshold touch-anywhere — no arb exists), (b) matched_pairs:0 with skipped_cross_type:0 and both venues >5 legs means the token-overlap matcher found nothing in common — events likely semantically unrelated despite the topic keyword. temporal_alignment{polymarket_month,kalshi_month,aligned} tells you whether the two events resolve in the same calendar period; aligned:false means spreads are mathematically meaningless across the temporal gap. skipped_cross_type / skipped_cross_subtype counters expose how many leg-pair comparisons were dropped (cross-type = metric_type mismatch like MoM vs YoY; cross-subtype = inequality mismatch like cum_ge vs cum_le). Real cross-venue spreads are rarer than the macro-shortcut list suggests — most pre-mapped topics return compatibility_warning today; pre-mapped ≠ tradeable. It is categorised as a Read tool in the 19hz MCP Server, which means it retrieves data without modifying state.
polymarket_kalshi_spread accepts 3 parameters: topic, kalshi_event_ticker, polymarket_event_slug. The full parameter table on this page comes from the server's own tool schema.
Register the 19hz MCP server in PolicyLayer and add a rule for polymarket_kalshi_spread: allow, deny, rate-limit, or require approval. Point your MCP client at the PolicyLayer proxy URL and the rule is enforced on every call, before it reaches 19hz. Nothing to install.
polymarket_kalshi_spread is a Read tool with low risk. Read-only tools are generally safe to allow by default.
Yes. Add a rate_limit block to the polymarket_kalshi_spread rule in your PolicyLayer policy. For example, setting max: 10 and window: 60 limits the tool to 10 calls per minute. Rate limits are tracked per agent session and reset automatically.
Set action: deny in the PolicyLayer policy for polymarket_kalshi_spread. The AI agent will receive a policy violation error and cannot call the tool. You can also include a reason field to explain why the tool is blocked.
polymarket_kalshi_spread is provided by the 19hz MCP server (https://gateway.pipeworx.io/19hz/mcp). PolicyLayer sits as a proxy in front of this server to enforce policies before tool calls reach the server.
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